S&P 500 starts strong US stocks continue to bask in the glow of the China trade truce. The S&P 500 is up 16 points to 3006 and trading has been narrow since the open. Shares of Netflix, JPMorgan and Alcoa are higher after reporting earnings. That’s the highest since Sept 24 and about 0.7% from
Gold Price Outlook Talking Points: Gold Prices Hold in Bull Flag as USD Drops It’s been a big week so far in the US Dollar with the currency continuing to fall as part of the Q4 bearish theme that’s shown in the USD. And while this level of USD-weakness would traditionally come along with bid
UK retail sales remained flat MoM in September. Core retail sales rose 0.2% MoM in September. The UK retail sales came in flat month-over-month in September, as expected, but was still better than the previous month’s downwardly revised reading of -0.3%. Meanwhile, the core retail sales, stripping the auto motor fuel sales, unexpectedly recorded a
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Comments by German chancellor, Angela Merkel There has been significant movement on Brexit Cannot say how the EU summit will end Says we don’t have agreement on all customs issues But an agreement on a Brexit deal is still possible ForexLive Merkel just stirring the pot a little. Not really offering much with the remarks
Cable moves to session lows after DUP setback but buyers lean close to key near-term trendline support ForexLive Price moved to a low of 1.2750 earlier, just short of testing key near-term support around 1.2744 from the trendline since the end of last week. As it stands, buyers are still keeping some momentum but just
Australian Dollar, AUD/USD, Australia Jobs Report – Talking Points AUD/USD climbs as jobs data cools November RBA rate cut bets Softer 3Q China GDP data could reverse Australian Dollar gains AUD/USD is attempting to close above key descending trend line Trade all the major global economic data live as it populates in the economic calendar
GBP/JPY fails to hold above 140.00 mark as mixed signals from Brexit, trade negatively affect risk-tone. Brexit talks are upbeat but no signs of a deal, Labor leader prepares for the second referendum while doubts over the PM Johnson’s victory at home prevail. China still to invite the US diplomats for trade talks, US-China political
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Chicago Federal Reserve bank president Charles Evans on Wednesday said that he was open-minded about the Fed’s next policy move and noted that positive developments with Brexit and the United States (US)-China trade conflict could reduce downside risks. “Volatility in money market rates is of concern and the Fed doesn’t want it to get in the way of
Crypto down across the board Police worldwide today have touted an operation that resulted in the shutdown of a website called Welcome to Video that was located in South Korea and was described as one of the world’s biggest marketplaces for child pornography. Officials arrested more than 300 people in 11 countries who used the
Retail Sales Talking Points: Gold lifts higher on downbeat retail sales data; with the headline figure printing -0.3%, vs expectations of +0.3% USD price action wilts on increased FOMC rate cut odds Retail Sales Ex Auto declined 0.1% vs a 0.2% gain expected US Consumers reigned in their spending for the month of September as
Matthew Todd Mentoring – matthew@toddcapitalgroup.co.uk IG – @_toddcapitalgroup Liam Muldoon IG – @_runningbull Signal Service – @_runningbull Enquiries – liammuldoon97@gmail.com
Cable back at flat levels around 1.2785 to start the session ForexLive The pound has pared losses seen earlier in the day as hopes of a Brexit deal continue to give buyers an impetus to keep the recent rally going. Cable is now back around flat levels, closing in on the day’s high at 1.2790
Comments by French finance minister, Bruno Le Maire Reiterates that it is more preferable to have a Brexit deal than no-deal Will have to see what concessions have been made in Brexit negotiations Red line remains the importance of protecting European single market ForexLive Nothing that really stands out here from Le Maire but for
Hong Kong Bill, US Dollar, AUD/JPY, Trade War –TALKING POINTS The US House just proposed, passed a bill supporting Hong Kong protesters Legislation would require annual inspection of HK’s autonomy from Beijing China has threatened to retaliate if the bill passes amid Sino-US trade talks Learn how to use political-risk analysis in your trading strategy!
GBP/JPY steps back from the late-May top, downward sloping resistance line since mid-March. Sellers await downside break of 200-day SMA amid overbought RSI conditions. In addition to the failure to rise beyond multi-month old falling trend line, overbought conditions of 14-bar Relative Strength Index (RSI) also trigger the GBP/JPY pair’s pullback to 138.87 during Wednesday’s
New Zealand inflation data (CPI) for the third quarter of 2019 CPI q/q expected 0.6% and prior 0.6% CPI y/y expected 1.4% and prior 1.7% Both the q/q and y/y in above the consensus estimate. Tradeable inflation +0.1% q/q, Non-tradeable +1.1% q/q and +3.2% y/y NZD marked higher. The line of reasoning goes along the
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According to The Times, Germany has warned that Brexit would need to be delayed until next year even if the United Kingdom (UK) and the European Union (EU) were to reach an agreement before the end of the day on Tuesday. “Optimism has grown on the European side that Boris Johsnon will table a new
Risk trades rise on hopes for a Brexit deal Most days the Brexit trade is limited to GBP, and perhaps EUR but today it’s the dominant force in all markets. To get a sense of the stakes, one-week implied volatility in GBP is 17% this week — the highest since the Brexit referendum. It’s not
Cable climbs to the highs of the day A report suggesting the UK and EU are on the cusp of a Brexit deal has sent the pound to the best levels of the day. Cable is up 135 pips to 1.2743. The break above 1.2714 is the first rise above the 200-day moving average since
MARKET DEVELOPMENT –GBP/USD Volatility Spikes, NZD/USD Eyes CPI DailyFX 2019 FX Trading Forecasts GBP: Politics continues to drive the Pound, which trades modestly firmer after EU Chief Negotiator Barnier stated that while it will be difficult, there is still a possibility for an agreement this week. Direction in the Pound will remain headline driven in
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