The week ends with some modest consolidation in the USD but it’s only a distraction to a solid start of the year. Analysts at TD Securities see the USD/JPY rally running out of steam. Key quotes “Our year-end view rested on the fact that a weak USD narrative would require a positive shift to the
GBP/USD Price, News and Analysis GBP/USD back to 1.2900 but upside is currently capped. PMI data will drive the next move in the pair. US Dollar Remains the Cleanest Shirt in a Dirty Laundry Basket Sterling has suffered against the US dollar this week with GBP/USD trading back down to the 1.2850 level before pulling
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Global Times recently released news that the US military in South Korea took action due to the latest coronavirus spread. Key quotes The US military in South Korea has raised its danger level and urgently blocked all bases and facilities in Daegu due to the Coronavirus spread. A large-scale cluster of infections was found in
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EUR/GBP runs into a roadblock, capped by US session supply. UK budget back in focus as a play-off with the BoE aha of official UK/EUR trade talks next month. EUR/GBP has been capped in the up-surge during the New York session, despite improved sentiment in the eurozone’s economic data and has given back a 61.8%
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[embedded content] US Dollar, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Talking Points: It’s been a busy past 48 hours across global markets. A quick rush of Yen-weakness has grabbed attention in FX markets. Is there a bigger risk off move lurking? US Dollar Jumps to Three-Year-High as Signals Continue to Show Continuing our theme from Tuesday, a number
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Not the 7 plus years recommended before Trump/Barr weighed in (or so they say) Roger Stone, a strong allied to Pres. Trump, was sentenced to 40 months in prison for lying to Congress and witness tampering. The sentence comes after fireworks within the Justice Department on allegations that the president interfered in the case – in particular the sentencing recommendation
Sits in between intraday MAs The USDJPY fell when the stocks fell. Looking at the 5 minute chart, the price fell below its 100 bar MA but stalled at ahead of the 200 bar MA. Since then, the price action has centered between the levels. The area is a neutral intraday level and the price
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Gold turns positive for the third consecutive session on Thursday. A softer tone around equity markets helped regain positive traction. Sliding US bond yields provided an additional boost to the commodity. Gold reversed an early dip to the $1604 area and jumped to fresh multi-year tops during the mid-European session on Thursday. The precious metal
Latest data released by ONS – 20 February 2020 Prior -0.6%; revised to -0.5% Retail sales +0.8% vs +0.6% y/y expected Prior +0.9% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +1.6% vs +0.8% m/m expected Prior -0.8% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +1.2% vs +0.5% y/y expected Prior +0.7% ForexLive Solid beats across the board with the
GBP price, FTSE 100, Brexit news and analysis: GBP/USD continues to fall, with an important support level now being challenged. At the same time, the FTSE 100 is stable to higher. That suggests the inverse correlation between the two has returned, with falls in GBP tending to benefit the major London stocks. GBP/USD falling, FTSE
NZD/USD is at the lows for the day, nears some support around 0.6322-34 ForexLive The kiwi is continuing its horrid run of form this year with the post-RBNZ bounce proving to be extremely short-lived with price sinking to fresh three-month lows today. By taking out support around 0.6378, the downside momentum is continuing towards some
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GBP/USD drops to seven-day lows. UK’s new immigration plan, the Canada-styled deal with the EU spice-up the EU-UK tussle off-late. The US dollar remains on the front foot amid fresh risk-off, positive fundamentals. US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, Chinese headlines will also be the key. GBP/USD drops to 1.2910 while heading into the London open
China’s National Health Commission update on confirmed cases Total for mainland China as of end February 19 is 74,576 Total deaths across China’s mainland reaches 2,118 (114 added to total on Feb 19) Note the methodology of counting has changed (bolded link below) Earlier: Also: From 46 yesterday — So far for mainland
Gold prices have extended their gains and have topped $1,611.42, the previous 2020 peak. XAU/USD is now trading at the highest levels since March 2013. Back then, it hit a high of $1,617, which is the next upside target. The coronavirus outbreak has raised concerns that the global economy may face a significant slowdown. Central
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FOMC Minutes Talking Points: Stance remains appropriate for now Coronavirus remains an uncertainty Inflation targeting discussed January’s minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee released today saw little impact to price action across asset groups. However, the US Dollar did gain momentum following the release with USDJPY breaking above 111.456. The cross is nearly 3
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Gold up $6.50 today All roads lead back go gold. We have almost institutionalized the idea of money printing and fiscal stimulus globally. The next downturn is going to feature an unfathomable amount of experimentation and competitive FX devaluation. It won’t work because of demographic headwinds but they will keep throwing money at it anyway.
Pair is making new session lows The GBPUSD is trading to a new session lows and in the process has broken back below its 100 day moving average . The last move below the 100 day moving average earlier today lasted for less than 5 minutes. After a correction back toward the underside of a broken
AUD is having none of it The contrast between stock markets and the Australian dollar at the moment is as strong as I’ve ever see it. The Aussie is a China-levered bet on global growth so it’s not a surprise to see it underperforming but we’re once again close to financial crisis lows as stocks
Novel coronavirus outbreak will have a certain impact on China’s economy but the size and duration will be limited, the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) noted in its monetary policy implementation report for the fourth quarter. “The fundamentals of China’s economy have not changed,” the PBoC added. “China’s economy, however, also faces several challenges but will fend off major
Cable touches a high of 1.3023 on the day ForexLive After a move lower in the past hour to test the 200-hour MA (blue line) once again, the pound is finding some relief from UK inflation data as the release reaffirmed the BOE’s conviction to keep rates unchanged in the January policy meeting. In turn,
Latest data released by ONS – 19 February 2020 Prior +1.3% CPI -0.3% vs -0.4% m/m expected Prior 0.0% Core CPI +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y expected Prior +1.4% A decent improvement in both the headline and core reading, and that should provide some encouragement to the BOE that they aren’t quite at risk of falling
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