The week ends with some modest consolidation in the USD but it’s only a distraction to a solid start of the year. Analysts at TD Securities see the USD/JPY rally running out of steam.  Key quotes “Our year-end view rested on the fact that a weak USD narrative would require a positive shift to the
Global Times recently released news that the US military in South Korea took action due to the latest coronavirus spread. Key quotes The US  military in South Korea has raised its danger level and urgently blocked all bases and facilities in Daegu due to the Coronavirus spread. A large-scale cluster of infections was found in
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[embedded content] US Dollar, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Talking Points: It’s been a busy past 48 hours across global markets. A quick rush of Yen-weakness has grabbed attention in FX markets. Is there a bigger risk off move lurking? US Dollar Jumps to Three-Year-High as Signals Continue to Show Continuing our theme from Tuesday, a number
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Not the 7 plus years recommended before Trump/Barr weighed in (or so they say) Roger Stone, a strong allied to Pres. Trump, was sentenced to 40 months in prison for lying to Congress and witness tampering. The sentence comes after fireworks within the Justice Department on allegations that the president interfered in the case – in particular the sentencing recommendation
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Latest data released by ONS – 20 February 2020 Prior -0.6%; revised to -0.5% Retail sales +0.8% vs +0.6% y/y expected Prior +0.9% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +1.6% vs +0.8% m/m expected Prior -0.8% Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +1.2% vs +0.5% y/y expected Prior +0.7% ForexLive Solid beats across the board with the
GBP/USD drops to seven-day lows. UK’s new immigration plan, the Canada-styled deal with the EU spice-up the EU-UK tussle off-late. The US dollar remains on the front foot amid fresh risk-off, positive fundamentals. US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, Chinese headlines will also be the key. GBP/USD drops to 1.2910 while heading into the London open
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FOMC Minutes Talking Points: Stance remains appropriate for now Coronavirus remains an uncertainty Inflation targeting discussed January’s minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee released today saw little impact to price action across asset groups. However, the US Dollar did gain momentum following the release with USDJPY breaking above 111.456. The cross is nearly 3
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Gold up $6.50 today All roads lead back go gold. We have almost institutionalized the idea of money printing and fiscal stimulus globally. The next downturn is going to feature an unfathomable amount of experimentation and competitive FX devaluation. It won’t work because of demographic headwinds but they will keep throwing money at it anyway.
Novel coronavirus outbreak will have a certain impact on China’s economy but the size and duration will be limited, the People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) noted in its monetary policy implementation report for the fourth quarter. “The fundamentals of China’s economy have not changed,” the PBoC added. “China’s economy, however, also faces several challenges but will fend off major
Latest data released by ONS – 19 February 2020 Prior +1.3% CPI -0.3% vs -0.4% m/m expected Prior 0.0% Core CPI +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y expected Prior +1.4% A decent improvement in both the headline and core reading, and that should provide some encouragement to the BOE that they aren’t quite at risk of falling