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Talking Points: $133 million trade loss was enough to wipe out safeguards maintained by the clearing house The event will draw the scrutiny of regulators looking to avoid similar instances The inability of the clearing house to cover the losses suggests some of the same risks remain 10-years after the Great Financial Crisis Energy Derivatives
The S&P500 Index is at a stone throw away from the all-time-high. The S&P500 Index is trading above its 50, 100 and 200- day simple moving averages which are rising and widening, this is considered bullish. The RSI, MACD and Stochastics indicators are also supportive of higher prices ahead. Targets to the upside are the
The greater fool theory explains almost every bubble Some things have an intrinsic value. The most-obvious example is a stock with a dividend. The absolute floor for an equity is its dividend and so long as their is a profitable business behind it, the value is a multiple of that dividend. Other things don’t have
“Gold specs marginally increased positioning this week as conflicting information prompted both longs and shorts to lighten their exposure to the yellow metal,” note TD Securities analysts. Key quotes “While money manager and CTA short positioning remains near record levels, suggesting a short covering rally could be in the cards, commercial positions are expressing a
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading in a bull trend but made little progress since late May. DXY traded below 94.43-45 (August 28 swing low, 100-day SMA) where bulls showed up and supported the market. Bulls objective is to break above 95.65 (July 19 high) in order to start making higher highs. However, a
Roubini, a professor at NYU’s Stern School of Business and CEO of Roubini Macro Associates, affirmed that the next economic downturn will be more severe than the last. In the past, he warned about the financial crisis before the crash of 2008 and now he points to a recession and a financial crisis in 2020.
Retails sales growth slows down in August. Trump gives the green light to China tariffs. Major indexes record gains for the week. After starting the last day of the week higher, major equity indexes lost their traction and finished the week on a mixed note on resurfacing concerns over Trump administration’s trade policies. A Bloomberg
Forex news for North American trade on September 14, 2018: Markets: Gold down $7 to $1194 WTI crude up 35-cents to $68.93 US 10-year yields up 2.4 bps to 2.99% S&P 500 flat at 2904 USD leads, AUD lags It was a full day of headlines on Friday with the main one a report that
Nasdaq leads the gains for the week The major US indices are ending the day with modest gains. The S&P rose 0.86 points or 0.03% at 2905.03. The high for the day reached 2908.30. The low extended to 2895.77 The NASDAQ fell -3.667 points or -0.05% at 8010.04. The high for the day reached 8040.82.
Next week, the Bank of Japan will meet and the ruling party will hold a leadership vote. According to analysts at Danske Bank, the central bank will keep its policy unchanged. Key Quotes: “In Japan, politics will be in focus next week, with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting (18-19 September) coming up and the
CFTC Commitments of Traders: GBP shorts remain the largest spec position. Coming Up! Title text for next article Commitment of traders report for the week ending Sept 11, 2018. EUR long 11K vs 8K long last week. Longs increased by 3K in GBP short 61K vs 70K short last week. Shorts trimmed 9K JPY short 54K
The GBP was the strongest. The JPY was the weakest. The trading week is coming to an end, and that means it is time to crown the strongest and weakest of the major currencies. The ranking is determined by calculating the % changes of each currency vs each other and summing up changes. The most
San Francisco Fed promotes from within Mary Daly will be the next President of the San Francisco Fed, taking over from John Williams who will lead up the New York Fed. Daly has worked at the New York Fed since 1996 and is the current research director. She will take the job on Oct 1.
Up from $67.75 last week The price of crude oil is settling the day at $68.99. That is up $0.40 on the day or 0.58%. The contract is also up on the week. Last Friday, the contract settled at $67.75. The high for the day reached $69.91. The low extended to $67.94. The price action
EUR/USD continued to slide from weekly highs and approached 1.1600. The euro weakened amid a report suggesting Trump will impose new tariffs to Chinese goods and after comments to Draghi over the economy. The EUR/USD pair kept falling during Friday’s US session, making an important reversal. Earlier reached 1.1720, a 2-week high and when it
Pair stalled at the topside trend line earlier in the day The GBPUSD tested a topside trend line earlier in the day and stalled against that trend line not once but twice (after Raab headlines) . That helped to put a lid on the pair. The price has been pushing lower since then. The fall
Technicals also contributing to selling after move higher this week. As reported earlier, the EURJPY tested a key technical target at the 200 day MA and 50% retracement. Since then, the price wandered lower, and then the pair got a kick lower on the back of risk-off trades from the Trump tariffs rumblings. The price
100 hour MA is the first key MA target The EURUSD has tumbled lower and moves toward the 100 hour MA at 1.16274. Just below that is the 50% at 1.16235. The 200 hour MA is at 1.16122. With the decline, the EURJPY is also getting smacked after testing the key 200 day MA and
Manafort is cooperating with Mueller It’s not yet clear how much cooperation he will be doing, or what he knows. He’s certainly not getting a sweetheart deal. He’s already been found guilty to counts that will lead to several years in jail and with this plea he will get more jailtime and has agreed to
Pair tests support area The AUDUSD is getting hit on the back of the rumblings that Pres. Trump is wanting to enact the $200B of tariffs on China. The price has moved to new session lows and tests the 200 hour MA and 50% retracement at the 0.7156 and the 100 hour at 0.71484. A
German Dax leads the way The European major stock indices are ending the week/day with gains: German DAXrose 0.63% France’s CAC rose 0.53% UK’s FTSE rose 0.34% Spain’s Ibex rose 0.47% Italy’s FTSE MIB rose 0.19% Portugal’s PSI 20 bucks the trend and fell -0.56% For the week: German DAX rose 1.38% France’s CAC rose
USD/CAD up 40 pips today A broad rally in the US dollar has lifted USD/CAD to 1.3040 today after opening the day just below the big figure and touching a low of 1.2983 in Asia. Even with today’s bounce, the move is modest in the weekly perspective. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the pair sank on NAFTA